Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jul 14 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fernanda, located well to the southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

1. A broad low pressure system centered a few hundred miles southwest
of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing a large but disorganized
area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to be somewhat conducive for gradual development, and a
tropical depression could form by early next week while the system
moves slowly toward the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles
southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico are associated with a trough of low
pressure.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to be
slow to occur as the system moves west-northwestward at about 10
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake