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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST SAT NOV 21 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Rick, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
south of the Guatemala/Mexico border is producing disorganized
shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for development of this system, and a
tropical cyclone is expected to form south of the southern coast of
Mexico within the next few days while the disturbance moves westward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Forecaster Cangialosi