Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Sep 12 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Western East Pacific:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave  
located well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula has become a little better organized today. Environmental 
conditions are conducive for development of this system during the 
next few days as the system moves generally northwestward, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form later this week. The system is 
then forecast to turn westward over the weekend, at which time 
further development is not anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Kelly