Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Aug 15 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Fernanda, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Off the Coast of Southwestern Mexico (EP90):
Showers and thunderstorms are continuing to show signs of 
organization in association with a broad area of low pressure 
located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued 
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is 
anticipated to form within the next day or so. The system is 
expected to move west-northwestward to northwestward, roughly 
parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico and the Baja California 
peninsula during the next several days.  Additional information on 
this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
over the weekend. Some gradual development of this system is 
possible thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

Forecaster Kelly/Berg