Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jul 5 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of 
southwestern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical 
depression will likely form by this weekend while it moves 
generally west-northwestward, off the coast of mainland Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form a few hundred miles south 
of the southern coast of Mexico early next week.  Some gradual 
development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves 
generally westward to west-northwestward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Kelly/Cangialosi