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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 5 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Dexter, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

1. Off the Southeastern United States:
A weak surface trough currently located several hundred miles off 
the coast of the southeastern United States is expected to form an 
area of low pressure in a day or so. Thereafter, environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system, 
and a tropical depression could form by the latter portion of this 
week or weekend as as the low initially moves slowly westward, but 
turns more northward by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is currently 
producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, primarily 
to the southwest of the wave axis.  Environmental conditions are 
forecast to be conducive for gradual development during the next few 
days, and a tropical depression could form late this week or over 
the weekend as the system moves generally west-northwestward across 
the central tropical or subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Papin