000
ABPZ20 KNHC 082325
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Oct 8 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
Showers and thunderstorms remain limited in association with a small 
but well-defined area of low pressure located a little over one 
hundred miles west-southwest of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico. The 
proximity of very dry environmental air to the west of the system 
may continue to limit shower and thunderstorm activity and its 
chances to become a tropical depression are decreasing. This system 
is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward to northwestward, 
just offshore of the coast of Mexico and by late Wednesday, 
upper-level winds are also forecast to become unfavorable, ending 
its chances for further development. Regardless of development, the 
system could bring areas of heavy rain to portions of southwestern 
Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin