000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212331
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Sep 21 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of showers and 
thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of the coast of 
southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some 
slow development of this system while it meanders offshore the next 
few days, and a tropical depression could form during the early or 
middle part of next week when the system begins to move slowly 
eastward or northeastward toward the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Central Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well to the southwest of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some slow development 
of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the 
early or middle part of next week while the system moves slowly 
eastward or northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly