519 
ABPZ20 KNHC 102302
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Sep 10 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A broad low pressure system is producing a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the coast of 
southwestern Mexico extending offshore for several hundred miles. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual 
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form 
during the latter part of the week while it moves generally 
north-northwestward, near the coast of southwestern Mexico and 
towards the Baja California Peninsula.  Regardless of development, 
heavy rainfall is likely across coastal portions of southwestern and 
west-central Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen