000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161743
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 16 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred 
miles off the southwestern coast of Mexico are associated with a 
tropical wave.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system during the next few days, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form early next week while it moves 
west-northwestward at about 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Western Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form by early next week more than a 
thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California peninsula.  Some slow development of this system is 
possible, and a tropical depression could form during the middle to 
latter part of next week while it moves generally westward across 
the western portion of the East Pacific and into the Central Pacific 
basin.  Information on this system's development can also be found 
in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be 
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on 
the web at hurricanes.gov 

$$
Forecaster Berg