748 ABPZ20 KNHC 300509 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 29 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: South of Southern Mexico (EP94): Satellite images indicate that an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is very likely to form within the next couple of days. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Western East Pacific: A tropical wave located well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible during the middle and latter parts of the week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form towards the end of the week or this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake