000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291717
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Jul 29 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the 
southern coast of Mexico continues to produce an area of showers and 
thunderstorms. Recent scatterometer wind data depict that the 
circulation has become a little better defined today. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few 
days. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward 
at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of 
the southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located well to the southwest of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula continues to produce disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is 
possible during the middle and latter parts of the week while it 
moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the 
western portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of 
Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, 
and a tropical depression could form towards the end of the week or 
this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward to 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, 
remaining offshore. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 

$$
Forecaster Kelly