509 
ABPZ20 KNHC 231135
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jul 23 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, 
have become slightly better organized since yesterday. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for slow development over the next 
couple of days while the disturbance moves generally 
west-northwestward, remaining offshore of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing 
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental 
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slight 
development of this system over the next few days while it moves 
westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph across the central 
and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg