000
ABPZ20 KNHC 162302
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 16 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP92): 
A broad, elongated area of low pressure located several hundred 
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  While a tropical depression could still form during 
the next day or two, the window for further development is 
shortening with stronger upper-level winds and cooler waters 
anticipated on Thursday.  The system is forecast to move west- 
northwestward at 10-15 mph across the western part of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is likely to form this weekend a few 
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Some 
slow development of this system is possible early next week while 
it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10-15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake