000 ABPZ20 KNHC 220527 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 21 2023 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Norma, located near the southeastern coast of the Baja California peninsula. South of Southern Mexico (EP91): Recent satellite wind data indicate that the circulation associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec has become better defined. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is displaced well to the northwest and west of the center. The upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days. The system is forecast to meander or drift generally northward through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown