000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191154
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Oct 19 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Norma, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Cabo San 
Lucas, Mexico.

South of Southern Mexico (EP91):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in 
association with a broad area of low pressure located several 
hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Gradual development 
is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form during 
the next few days while the system meanders or drifts generally 
northward over the far eastern portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart