000
ABPZ20 KNHC 160501
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Oct 15 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of Southwestern Mexico (EP90):
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of 
Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive for 
development of this system, and a tropical depression is anticipated 
to form within the next two or three days.  This system is expected 
to move slowly westward and then turn northwestward late in the week 
offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

South of Guatemala and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coasts of 
Guatemala and southern Mexico in a few days.  Gradual development of 
the disturbance will be possible, and a tropical depression could 
form late this week or over the weekend while the system meanders 
over the far eastern portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi