000 ABPZ20 KNHC 070510 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 6 2023 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Lidia, located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. South of Southern Mexico (EP99): Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with an area of low pressure centered a couple of hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Environmental conditions are expected to support further development of this system during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is very likely to form this weekend. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly west-northwestward for the next day or so, and then turn northward and move toward the southern coast of Mexico late Sunday and Monday. This system could produce heavy rainfall along portions of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico through early next week. Interests in this area should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake