000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061133
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Oct 6 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Lidia, located several hundred miles south of the southern 
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

South of Southern Mexico (EP99):
An area of low pressure is centered about 200 miles south of the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated 
with the low is currently limited and disorganized. However, 
environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual 
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form late this weekend or early next week. The 
disturbance is forecast to move slowly west-northwestward for the 
next two days, and then turn northward and move closer to the 
southern coast of Mexico on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky