000
ABPZ20 KNHC 042346
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Oct 4 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Lidia, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico.

South of Central America:
A large, elongated area of showers and thunderstorms located well 
south of the coast of Guatemala is associated with a trough of low 
pressure.  Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for 
gradual development during the next several days, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while 
the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Western East Pacific:
An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Development of this system, 
if any, should be slow to occur while it moves little during the 
next couple of days.  By this weekend, environmental conditions are 
forecast to become less conducive for further development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci