000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011138
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Oct 1 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of Southwestern Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in 
association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles south 
of the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions are 
expected to be favorable for development of this system during the 
next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
during the middle part of this week while it moves generally 
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart