000
ABPZ20 KNHC 132316
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Aug 13 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
upgraded Hurricane Fernanda, located several hundred miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 

Western East Pacific (EP99): 
Satellite-derived winds indicate that the area of low pressure 
located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands has 
a well-defined circulation.  Showers and thunderstorms continue to 
show signs of organization and any increase in this activity is 
likely to lead to the formation of a tropical depression either 
tonight or on Monday.  The system is expected to move westward to 
west-northwestward, crossing into the Central Pacific basin late 
tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern portion of the east 
Pacific. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development 
during the next several days, and a tropical depression is expected 
to form by midweek while the system moves west-northwestward, 
roughly parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi