000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131736
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 13 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Fernanda, located several hundred miles southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 

Western East Pacific (EP99): 
Showers and thunderstorms are becoming better organized in 
association with an area of low pressure located about 1400 miles 
east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for continued development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form during the next day or so as it moves 
westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is 
forecast to cross into the Central Pacific basin late tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern portion of the east 
Pacific. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development 
during the next several days, and a tropical depression is expected 
to form by midweek while the system moves west-northwestward, 
roughly parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart