418 
ABPZ20 KNHC 130526
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 12 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
upgraded Tropical Storm Fernanda, located several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula. 

Western East Pacific (EP99): 
A broad area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east- 
southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to produce disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected 
to remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form within the next couple of days.  The system is 
forecast to move west or west-northwestward at about 10 mph across 
the far western portion of the basin through Sunday, and then cross 
into the Central Pacific basin Sunday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern 
portion of the east Pacific are associated with a tropical wave. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development over the 
next several days, and a tropical depression is expected to form 
during the early or middle part of next week while it moves 
generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of 
southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Fernanda are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. 
Forecast/Advisories on Fernanda are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. 

$$
Forecaster Brown