000
ABPZ20 KNHC 101155
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Aug 10 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central East Pacific:
A tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the coast 
of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form over the weekend or early next week while it moves 
westward at about 15 mph across the central portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Western East Pacific: 
Another tropical wave located well to the southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing some disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system 
is possible during the next several days while it moves generally 
westward at 10 to 15 mph across the far western portion of the basin 
and into the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of Central 
America in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be 
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical 
depression could form during the early or middle part of next week 
while it moves generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the 
coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart