000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202333
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Jul 20 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Southwest of the Southern Baja California Peninsula (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the 
Baja California peninsula have changed little in organization 
since earlier today.  Environmental conditions remain marginally 
conducive for further development of this system during the next day 
or so, and a short-lived tropical depression could form while it 
moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph.  By Saturday, further 
development is not expected as the system moves over cooler waters 
and encounters stronger upper-level winds.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch