000
ABPZ20 KNHC 100546
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Jul 9 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of the Baja California Peninsula (EP93):
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains minimal and well removed 
from a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. 
Environmental conditions are becoming increasingly unfavorable, and 
tropical cyclone formation is no longer expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity is gradually becoming better 
organized associated with a formative area of low pressure located 
a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional 
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form during the middle to latter part of this week. The 
system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward, remaining 
well offshore of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin