371 
ABPZ20 KNHC 091718
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jul 9 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has decreased this morning, and 
remains disorganized around the broad low several hundred miles 
west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. By tonight, the system is 
expected to move west-northwestward into a less favorable 
environment well west of the coast of mainland Mexico. Therefore, 
development of a tropical cyclone is becoming less likely. 
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can 
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure a few hundred miles south of southern 
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual 
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form during the middle of the week. The system is 
expected to move westward to west-northwestward, remaining well 
offshore of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

$$
Forecaster Kelly/Cangialosi