000
ABPZ20 KNHC 082321
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jul 8 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a large area 
of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of 
Manzanillo, Mexico.  While this system has changed little in 
organization during the last several hours, any increase in 
organization would lead to the development of a tropical depression 
tonight or on Sunday.  By Monday, the system is expected to move 
west-northwestward into a less favorable environment well west of 
the coast of mainland Mexico.  Additional information on this 
system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure a few hundred miles south of southern 
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual 
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form during the early to middle portions of next week.  
The system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward, 
remaining well offshore of the coast of southern and southwestern 
Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

$$
Forecaster Beven