000
ABPZ20 KNHC 081723
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Jul 8 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually become better 
organized in association with a large area of low pressure located a 
few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  If this trend 
continues, advisories will likely be initiated on this system later 
today or tonight.  The low is expected to move generally 
west-northwestward, away from the coast of mainland Mexico during 
the next few days.  Additional information on this system, including 
gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure a few hundred miles south of southern 
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual 
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form during the early to middle portions of next week.  
The system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward 
parallel to, but well offshore of the coast of southern and 
southwestern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi