000
ABPZ20 KNHC 081129
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Jul 8 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually become better 
organized in association with a large area of low pressure located a 
few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Environmental 
conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional slow 
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely 
to form later today or tonight while the disturbance moves generally 
west-northwestward, away from the coast of mainland Mexico.  
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can 
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure a few hundred miles south-southeast of 
southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual 
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form during the early to middle portions of next week.  
The system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward 
parallel to, but well offshore of the coast of southern and 
southwestern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi