385 
ABPZ20 KNHC 071137
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jul 7 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of 
Manzanillo, Mexico, are showing some signs of organization. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to remain conducive 
for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form within the next day or so while the disturbance moves 
generally west-northwestward, away from the coast of mainland 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
An elongated trough of low pressure located well south-southeast
of southeastern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be 
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next 
several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next 
week.  The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward 
parallel to, but well offshore, of the coast of southern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown