000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271141
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jun 27 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Off the Southwestern Coast of Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in 
association with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred 
miles southwest of Zihuatanejo, Mexico.  Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical 
depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the 
system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph, generally away from the 
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

South of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of 
the coasts of Guatemala and El Salvador is producing disorganized 
shower and thunderstorm activity.  Gradual development of this 
system is expected during the next several days, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form by the latter part of this week while 
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the 
southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico.  Interests along the 
southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this 
system during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg