000
ABPZ20 KNHC 261151
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jun 26 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Off the Southern and Southwestern Coast of Mexico:
An elongated trough of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce a 
large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear generally favorable for gradual development of 
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the 
middle part of this week as the system moves generally 
west-northwestward, parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

South of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure area is located a few hundred miles 
southwest of the coast of Costa Rica. Some gradual development of 
this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical 
depression could form during the middle to latter part of this week 
while it moves slowly west-northwestward, remaining offshore of the 
southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Pasch