000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111741 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 11 2022 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Near the coast of Southern Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from near the Gulf of Tehuantepec southwestward for a few hundred miles are associated with a surface trough and Julia's remnants. Development, if any, of this system is likely to be slow to occur due to dry air aloft and marginal upper-level winds. This system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward, near the coast of southern Mexico, through the end of the week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could cause flash flooding across portions of southern Mexico during the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake