000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111138 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Oct 11 2022 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Near the coast of Southern Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from near the Gulf of Tehuantepec southwestward for a couple of hundred miles are associated with a surface trough and Julia's remnants. Some gradual development of this system is possible if it remains offshore of southern Mexico while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward through the end of the week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will likely cause flash flooding and mudslides across portions of southern Mexico during the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake