000
ABPZ20 KNHC 150529
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 14 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
A low pressure system located a few hundred miles southwest of 
Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce showers and thunderstorms, 
mainly to the west of its center of circulation.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple 
of days while meandering southwest of the southwestern coast of 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Near the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a 
couple of hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico is 
associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Gradual development 
of this system is possible during the next couple of days or so, and 
a tropical depression could form before reaching the coast of 
southern or southwestern Mexico, and possibly moving inland, over 
the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. 

$$
Forecaster Bucci