000 ABPZ20 KNHC 010546 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 31 2022 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of West-Central Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 350 miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, have changed little in organization during the past several hours. Conditions appear favorable for development of this system, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is forecast to form during the next day or so while moving northwestward at about 10 mph, likely remaining a couple of hundred miles off the western coast of Baja California Sur. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. South of Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the southern coast of Mexico by late this week. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the low moves westward or west-northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Beven