000
ABPZ20 KNHC 302316
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Aug 30 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southeast of 
Manzanillo, Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are forecast 
to be conducive for gradual development during the next few days, 
and a tropical depression is expected to form later this week or by 
this weekend. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward or 
northwestward, likely remaining a few hundred miles off the coast of 
southwestern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the southern 
coast of Mexico by late this week.  Some gradual development of this 
system is possible through early next week while it moves westward 
or west-northwestward near the coast of southern Mexico.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown