000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111156
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Aug 11 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A very broad area of low pressure is located several hundred miles 
off the southwestern coast of Mexico. Although this system is 
showing some signs of organization in satellite imagery, shower and 
thunderstorm activity has decreased since yesterday. In addition, 
overnight satellite-derived wind data indicate that the system does 
not have a well-defined center of circulation at the surface. 
Environmental conditions still appear conducive for development, and 
a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the weekend 
while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph, 
well offshore the coast of Mexico. The system is forecast to move 
into an environment that is less conducive for development early 
next week, and further development will be unlikely at that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky