036 
ABPZ20 KNHC 030528
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Aug 2 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Georgette, located about 1400 miles west-southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms over Central America and the adjacent waters.  The 
wave is expected to move into the eastern Pacific basin later 
today, and an area of low pressure is forecast to form a few hundred 
miles south of southern Mexico later this week. Environmental 
conditions are expected to be favorable for additional development 
thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this 
weekend while moving west-northwestward, remaining well offshore of 
the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Well Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
later this week. Some gradual development of this system is possible 
by this weekend while it moves westward over the open waters of the 
eastern Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin