000
ABPZ20 KNHC 222313
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jul 22 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A surface trough continues to produce disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the coast of 
southwestern Mexico.  Development, if any, of this system is 
expected to be slow to occur as the trough moves slowly westward or 
west-northwestward through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form late this weekend 
a few hundred miles south of extreme southeastern Mexico.  Gradual 
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could 
form by the middle of next week while the system moves generally 
westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi