000
ABPZ20 KNHC 071115
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jul 7 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Bonnie, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the southern 
coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form well south or southwest of the southwestern coast of 
Mexico over the weekend while the disturbance moves generally 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown