000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201133
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Oct 20 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of disturbed weather is producing some disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms within a couple of hundred miles of the 
coasts of southern Mexico, Guatemala, and El Salvador. Environmental 
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of 
this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form by late this week or this weekend while the system 
moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward near or just 
offshore the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart