440 
ABPZ20 KNHC 081732
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 8 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms 
a few hundred miles south of the coasts of Guatemala and southern 
Mexico.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is 
expected to form by late this weekend or early next week while the 
system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph south of 
the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg