000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011755
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 1 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to 
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental 
conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during 
the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the 
weekend or early next week while the system drifts westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A trough of low pressure is producing a few disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico. 
Development of this system has become less likely due to unfavorable 
environmental conditions. The system is forecast to move generally 
west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky