000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211137
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Sep 21 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing  
disorganized shower activity.  Environmental conditions are forecast 
to be somewhat conducive for development, and a short-lived tropical 
cyclone could form in 2 or 3 days while the system moves generally 
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By the weekend, however, the system 
is forecast to move over cooler waters and into a more stable 
environment, which should inhibit further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake