000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202317
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Sep 20 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing some 
disorganized shower activity.  Environmental conditions are forecast 
to be somewhat conducive for development during the next few days, 
and a tropical depression could form during the latter part of this 
week while the system moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
By late Friday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters, 
which will likely inhibit further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart