000
ABPZ20 KNHC 071741
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 7 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, 
continue to increase in organization.  Environmental conditions are 
conducive for additional development, and this system is likely to 
become a tropical depression later today or tonight while it moves 
generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore of the 
coast of Mexico.  Regardless of development, outer rainbands from 
the disturbance are likely to produce locally heavy rainfall and 
gusty winds along the coast of the Mexican states of Colima and 
Jalisco through tonight. Additional information on this system, 
including storm warnings, can be found in the High Seas Forecast 
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Shower activity remains limited in association with a small low 
pressure area located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip 
of the Baja California.  Additional development of this system is no 
longer anticipated due to unfavorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on 
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

$$
Forecaster Latto