000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221115
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Aug 22 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and 
offshore of the coast of west-central Mexico is associated with 
the remnants of Grace.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form within the next day or so while the system moves westward at
10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of 
southern Mexico early next week.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, 
and a tropical depression could form by mid-week.  The system is 
forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near 
or just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts